The Federal Government’s daily spending on petrol subsidy has
crashed to N 0.90 per litre as of December 29th 2014, as against N44.94
on November 3 due to the fall in global oil prices.
According to
latest data from the Petroleum Products Pricing Regulatory Agency
(PPPRA), the landing cost of petrol dropped to N82.41 as of December 29
compared to December 8, 9 and 10 when the cost was N98.15 per litre, and in November 3, 2014 the cost was N127.57.
Subsidy refers to the money paid, usually by government, to keep prices
below what they would otherwise be in a free market system.
For
example, the Expected Open Market Price (EOMP) of petrol is N 97.90 per
litre as of December 29, but the Regulated Price (RP) is N97. The
difference of 90 kobo is the subsidy on the Petrol.
The over 50 per cent decline in the price of crude oil since June may have triggered the reduction in subsidy.
The federal government recently unveiled plans to cut subsidies on
petroleum products by half this year after sharp falls in global crude
prices prompted it to revise its 2015 budget downwards.
According
to data from the revised budget President Goodluck Jonathan submitted
to lawmakers, the government proposed to spend N458.68 billion on petrol
subsidy in 2015, down from N971.14 billion naira presented for 2014.
When implemented, the government will save about N512.46 billion in 2015 for fuel subsidy.
According to the revised budget figures, government also assumed
further cuts to petrol subsidy in 2016 to 408.68 billion naira and
371.18 billion naira for 2017.
Petroleum subsidy in 2014 gulped
about N971 billion and would have gulped the same amount in 2015 but for
the sharp falls in global crude prices which has forced it to revise
the figures.
Commenting on the implication the latest subsidy
cut, Head of Energy Research at EcoBank, Mr. Dolapo Oni in an emailed
response, said the price of petrol will remain the same until the
government deregulates the sector.
He added that the reduction in
the subsidy bill means the government will have more funds to deploy to
its capital expenditure on infrastructure projects. This will likely be
through the SURE-P program.
“However, oil prices are likely to
be extremely volatile next year and could rise even higher than $70 at
some point in Q3/Q4. This could push the government’s subsidy bill back
up to nearly N20/N25 per litre again.
Meanwhile, the price of 93
and 95 octane petrol will decrease by R1.27 (N16) and R1.23 a litre on
Wednesday, the South AFrica energy department has said.
The price
of diesel would decrease by between R1.04 and R1.05 per litre.The price
of illuminating paraffin would decrease by R1.44 per litre. Liquefied
petroleum gas would decrease by R2.10/kg.
The weakening of the
Rand/US dollar exchange rate contributed to an increase in the fuel
price. This was however offset by the drop in international oil prices.
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