Despite rampant unemployment across the country, the Nigerian
government says the proportion of people without jobs has plummeted
dramatically from 28 per cent to just 6.4 per cent, meaning France has a
higher percentage of unemployed people than Nigeria, and the United
States and United Kingdom barely managed to beat Nigeria by a mark.
Unemployment rate in France stands at 10.6 per cent, while the U.S. and U.K. have 5.5 per cent each.
Nigeria’s new rate, unveiled this week by the National Bureau of
Statistics as the outcome of a revised methodology for calculating
unemployment, has angered many Nigerians.
The
Statistician-General of the Federation, Yemi Kale, had announced on
Thursday that Nigeria’s unemployment rate, which stood at about 28 per
cent by the 4th quarter of 2014, crashed to the new rate.
The
revised methodology for computing unemployment statistics reduced
Nigeria’s official work hour benchmark from 40 to 20 hours a week,
leaving the possibility of categorising millions of underemployed
Nigerians “employed”.
Work hours are the average number of hours a person is expected to complete in a week to be considered employed.
Nigerians who spoke with PREMIUM TIMES described the new figure
variously as “delusionary”, “politically motivated”, “unserious” and
“fallacious”.
Mr. Kale said if his bureau relied on the
International Labour Organisation, ILO, which sees the “unemployed” as
persons in the labour market who put in less one hour at work per week,
Nigeria’s rate would have plunged further, and virtually all Nigerians
would be seen as employed.
A revision of the ILO definition to
Nigeria’s initial 40 hours per week, Mr. Kale said, resulted in an
unemployment rate of 23. 9 percent in 2010, a figure many Nigerians
dismissed as false.
But government experts considered that figure
inadequate, arguing that persons who put in as much as 39 hours per
week cannot be considered unemployed.
The NBS boss noted the
difference between unemployed and “not having work”, saying that only
those within the working age of 15 and 64 years and looking for work,
but cannot find, are considered unemployed.
“When those in the
age brackets of 0-15 years and 65 and above are removed, all others in
the economically active population who are not working are either not
available or willing to work, not unemployed, like student and full-time
housewives,” Mr. Kale said.
Outraged Nigerians React
For
the Country Director, PLAN International, Hussaini Abdu, the 6.4 per
cent rate is far from realistic. He said 34 per cent would be close to
the true figure.
“The truth is that the NBS has been under
tremendous pressure from the World Bank and the Minister of Finance to
review these indices,” Mr. Abdu said. “The review was basically to
reduce the negative expression about unemployment, just as they said
poverty level was 53 percent.”
Mr. Abdu said unemployment
statistics are too serious to be politicised, particularly at a time
Nigeria is having a political transition.
“Changing figures on
paper does not reduce the number of the unemployed in the job market.
This is a very unserious way to deal with a national problem. If we say
unemployment is 6.4 per cent in Nigeria, are we saying we are better off
than France, UK and U.S. with higher unemployment figures?
“How
do we explain to millions of young Nigerians out in the street looking
for jobs? Is government telling them that what is their major problem is
not too much a problem? Mr. Abdu stated.
A former
President-General, Trade Union Congress of Nigeria (TUCN), Peter Esele,
was not amused either, as he described the new rate as “fallacious and
deceitful”.
“If government’s is to be believed, it should reflect
in the amount of tax they are collecting”, the labour leader said.
“This is the globally acceptable standard for measuring employment
situation in a country.
“If government is saying almost the
entire population are employed and it is not reflected in the tax
collected, then something is wrong with the government.”
If one
considers the U.S., Mr. Esele said, one hour job for a week would be
enough for the person to live very well with his earning, pointing out
that in Nigeria’s case, one hour’s work is dependent on other people.
“If government is saying the unemployment situation is 6.4 percent,
does our standard or quality of living the same as those places they are
copying? The figure is a huge fallacy,” he said.
The Chief
Executive Global Analytics Consulting Limited, Tope Fasua, who described
the 6.4 per cent unemployment figure as delusionary, said the situation
is not one that Nigerians would be deceived, as everybody knows the
truth.
“We have passed the stage of always wanting to look good.
The experience with the Minister of Finance about the economy should be
enough lesson for us. We cannot continue to want to look good when we
are faced with a serious problem.
“We say Nigeria is the largest
economy in Africa, and one of the fastest growing in the world. What’s
the reality on ground?” Mr. Fasua asked.
He said the country’s
assessment of unemployment situation in the country should begin from
secondary school, where a greater population of youths in the past used
to begin to look for job immediately out of school.
Government
should pay special attention to this group of people, as they are ones
doing the odd jobs, selling things at bus stops and are easily attracted
to crimes as a result of poverty.
The Lead Director, Centre for
Social Justice (CENSOJ), Eze Onyeknpere, described the 6.4 per cent
figure as unreasonable estimate, which he does not want to waste his
time commenting on.
“When we look around and see our brothers,
sisters and relations either without jobs, because there is none to look
for, or they have been sacked, we don’t know what else one can say
about unemployment,” he said.
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